The way it's going though, it's exactly the same path as mp3's. so take it how you want it- it's basically been a clusterfuck of politics for the last decade and it might take another 10 years to sort out legally. history has proved that markets that don't adapt to technology get left behind. hollywood doesnt want any distribution but they want sales, microsoft wants distribution but hollywood thinks a htpc is the devil and a store-bought htpc is uncrackable, reality shows that eventually- no matter what -technology will find a way to get people what they want. there is some serious insider-backhand-fingerf'n going on with the execs at the media corporations. You don't know because nobody really does. Now we just have to sit back, wait, and hope. It means that MS could, if they wanted to, bust the whole thing wide open at any time.
Things still aren't where they need to be for mass adoption, but the very idea that any computer can use a hack to get around the motherboard issue is encouraging. The tuners themselves have been available, in small trickles, through the grey market. That is what is so great about this crack: it gets past the toughest part of the whole thing, which was the OCUR-supported BIOS. It may be someone else behind the scenes forcing MS to act that way, I'll grant, but right now no individual consumer or small computer builder can get hold of the combined hardware/software necessary for making them work. Just as the original roll-out of Windows XP Media Center was only available to big OEMs, so too the technology surrounding Cable Card-based tuners is also tightly restricted by them. As best as I can tell, it is MS - at least in part - that is holding this up.
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